The Taiwan–China–US Triangle: Risks Rising

As the People's Republic of China (PRC) has increased its intimidation of Taiwan, more countries and international groupings have spoken out against the threat or use of force. The United States and others have also shown greater support for Taipei with substantive and symbolic measures aimed at increasing Taiwan's resilience and lifting its international profile-even as critics argue that "too much" support for Taiwan makes drastic PRC moves more likely. Taiwan itself is unlikely to precipitate a crisis, but China's intentions are opaque, and future US policy is uncertain. Risks are rising.

Harry Genn
After joining DFAT in 1989, Harry worked on international security and China-related issues in Canberra and was posted to Shanghai, Beijing and Taipei. From 2008 to 2019, he led analysis on China and North Asia at the Australian Office of National Assessments. He was awarded the Australian Intelligence Medal in 2021.